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FROM THIS EPISODE

There's big change in this year's presidential contests because of two New Hampshire comebacks—-one expected and the other a major surprise. What's in store for candidates and voters of both parties between now and Tsunami Tuesday on the fifth of next month? Also, President Bush in the Middle East promoting his version of a two-state solution, and Monday's report that Obama was leading Clinton in New Hampshire by 13 points.

Producers:
Christian Bordal
Sonya Geis
Frances Anderton

Reporter's Notebook How Did Pollsters Get it Wrong in New Hampshire? 7 MIN, 3 SEC

Between the Iowa caucuses and Sunday evening, the Gallup Poll talked with likely voters in New Hampshire.  On Monday, the conclusion was that McCain led Romney 34 to 30, within the margin of error. On the Democratic side, Obama had a 13-point lead over Hillary ClintonFrank Newport is Editor in Chief of the Gallup Poll.

Guests:
Frank Newport, Gallup Poll (@galluppoll)

Making News Bush Meets with Israel's President on Peace Process 6 MIN, 6 SEC

President Bush talked with Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert in Jerusalem today.  Tomorrow, he'll go to Ramallah to meet with Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas.  At a news conference with Olmert, he talked about implementing his vision of a two-state solution. Steven Lee Myers, White House correspondent for the New York Times, is traveling with the President.

Guests:
Steven Lee Myers, New York Times (@slmmoscow)

Main Topic Comebacks in New Hampshire and the Road Ahead 36 MIN, 7 SEC

You don't have to be a political junkie to know that Hillary Clinton and John McCain are the comeback kids of yesterday's New Hampshire primaries—even though Mc Cain points out that he's hardly a kid. Barack Obama said Iowa proved white Americans would vote for a black man. Gloria Steinem said it proved gender is harder to overcome than race. Yesterday's results in New Hampshire have prevented a lot of story lines from becoming conventional wisdom. Is Hillary Clinton the front-runner after all? Can John McCain compete against major money in big states? Will religion emerge as an underlying issue?  What's up between now and Tsunami Tuesday?

Guests:
Larry Sabato, University of Virginia (@larrysabato)
Robert Ford, State Senator, South Carolina
Tad Devine, Democratic Strategist, Devine Mulvey
Tony Fabrizio, Republican pollster, Fabrizio, McLaughlin, & Associates
Chris Christoff, Political Reporter, Detroit Free Press
David Damore, Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Nevada Las Vegas
Lee Bandy, Political Columnist, The State

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