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Republican presidential candidates began this day with the prospect of a fourth woman making sexual harassment charges against Herman Cain. We hear what the impact might be and look at how the GOP challenge is shaping up with less than two months until the voices of rank and voters begin to be heard. Also, an forthcoming IAEA report is expected to announce the Iran is capable of building a nuclear weapon, and tomorrow's showdown over government workers in Ohio.

Banner image: (L-R) Mitt Romney in New Hampshire, September 28, 2011; Herman Cain at Hannity Boortz event, September 5, 2008 (Cain photo: flickr/John Trainor)

Making News Iran Reportedly Capable of Building Nuclear Weapon 7 MIN, 48 SEC

The UN's International Atomic Energy Agency is expected to make public new evidence that Iran's nuclear program does have what the IAEA calls a "possible military dimension." That's led to an "uptick in media chatter" by Israel and other interested parties. Tony Karon reports for Time magazine.

Tony Karon, Time magazine (@TonyKaron)

Main Topic The Republican Race for President: More Unsettled than Ever 36 MIN, 2 SEC

Barack Obama is in trouble with American voters, but his re-election might well depend on the identity of his GOP challenger. Establishment Republicans and other political pros think Mitt Romney is the most likely candidate to unseat President Obama a year from now. But the Iowa caucuses could change things, as they did four years ago, and they're less than two months away. Will Mitt Romney go all out despite being clobbered in Iowa four years ago? Will a fourth woman damage Herman Cain with sexual harassment charges? Can Rick Perry spend his way out of a collapse in the public opinion polls? We look at some potential scenarios for Iowa and 11 other swing states, which could ultimately decide if there's going to be a change in the White House.

John Heilemann, Bloomberg Politics / Showtime's 'The Circus' (@jheil)
Frank Newport, Gallup Poll (@gallup)
Donna Hoffman, University of Northern Iowa
Scott Galupo, The American Conservative (@ScottGalupo)
Alex Pareene, Salon.com (@pareene)

Game Change

John Heilemann

Reporter's Notebook Unions Face a Test in Ohio Election 7 MIN, 10 SEC

In the swing state of Ohio tomorrow, another battle will be fought in the war between Republicans and unionized government workers who turn out the troops, and the money, for Democrats. In March, Ohio's Republican Governor John Kasich and GOP legislators passed a law banning strikes by 350,000 government workers, increasing what they pay for health benefits and establishing standards of merit for pay and for layoffs. It hasn't yet gone into effect because Democrats forced a referendum, which will be held tomorrow. Bill Cohen reports from the Statehouse for Ohio Public Radio.

Bill Cohen, Ohio Public Radio

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