Are the Democrats This Year's October Surprise?

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Even conservative pundits are saying the Republicans have lost the House and may lose the Senate. So why are President Bush and Carl Rove optimistic about next months elections? Is it self-confidence or self-delusion?  What about money, organization and the partisan gerrymandering of district boundaries?  Plus, an update on yesterday's massive earthquake near Hawaii, and on this UN World Food Day, a conversation about where people are hungriest--and why.