The Limits of Political Polls

Hosted by

The political story of the week is the stunning defeat of House majority leader Eric Cantor in Virginia’s seventh district. Nobody predicted that Cantor would lose to a no-name, Tea Party-backed economics professor -- least of all, Cantor’s pollster, John McLaughlin. Less than a week before the election, McLaughlin forecasted that Cantor would win by 34 percentage points. Instead, he lost by ten. How did the pollster get it so wrong?


Shane Goldmacher - national political reporter, New York Times - @ShaneGoldmacher

Barbara Bogaev

Andrew Walsh, Christian Bordal, Matt Holzman, Jolie Myers, Anna Scott