FROM Dominique Moïsi
What's the Future of Brexit? After Britain voted to leave the European Union last year, Prime Minister Theresa May insisted that, "Brexit means Brexit." But yesterday, as negotiations finally began, her chief representative, David Davis, sounded a different tone, declaring, "There is more that unites than divides us." Is that a concession? Britain's position has weakened, while the EU is stronger because of France's recently elected leader, Emmanuel Macron. Uncertainty about the Trump Administration's foreign policy is also having an impact in Europe. Is it possible there could be no Brexit at all?
Three French Terrorists Killed in Police Raids The suspected killers in this week's massacre at the satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo have been killed in a shootout with French police. A third terrorist was also killed. Those are the results of two hostage situations, one in Paris and the other in the northern part of the country. Some neighborhoods in Paris are locked down and all of France remains on high alert.
Twelve Dead in Terror Attack on French Magazine In today's attack on the French satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo , masked gunmen shot 12 people dead, including editors and cartoonists who've drawn pictures of the Prophet Mohammed and two policeman. Others were shot as well. At least two killers are still on the loose, and the City of Paris is under the highest level of terrorist alert. Dominique Moïsi is senior advisor to the French Institute of International Relations in Paris.
Fallout in France: Will the Left Return to Power? President Nicolas Sarkozy came in second in the first round of voting in France's presidential elections yesterday behind François Hollande , the Socialist Party candidate. If he loses in the second round of voting on May 6, as many predict, Sarkozy would be France's first one-term president in 31 years. Analysts see the vote as a rebuke to the center-right president's austerity policies as well as his governing style. What can Sarkozy can do in the weeks ahead to win back voters, especially the far right? What changes would a Socialist government bring? If Hollande wins, how will he deal with the Euro crisis? How will French-US relations change?
America's Presidential Campaign through Foreign Eyes The presidential campaign is focused on American voters, but the President is the commander-in-chief and the architect of foreign policy. How does the idea of "European-style socialism" go down in France and Germany? How do Mitt Romney , Newt Gingrich and other Republican hopefuls sound in China, Israel, Iran and other parts of the world?
America's Presidential Campaign through Foreign Eyes A columnist in Germany's Der Spiegel calls the Republican candidates a "club of liars, debtors, betrayers, adulterers, exaggerators, hypocrites and ignoramuses." A French pundit is afraid they'll start new wars and abandon old allies. So how do the Europeans really feel about the campaign? Are the Chinese equally disgusted? What about Israel, Iran and other countries in the Middle East? As we wait for returns from Florida, we sample opinions from various parts of the world. Do foreign observers see much difference between Romney and Gingrich? Would either one be better or worse than Obama or about the same?
Will a New President Mean a New Order for France? Nicolas Sarkozy has been a polarizing figure in France, but as President-elect he is promising not only reform but unity. Current President Jacques Chirac has been no friend to George Bush, especially because of his opposition to the war in Iraq. Sarkozy does not support the war either, but he's looking for a kinder, gentler relationship. Can he accomplish his ambitious agenda at home and abroad? Unity and reform? What does he really mean by friendship with the United States?
Is the threat from Russia missing from the Russia meddling probe? There's much being made about the Trump administration's possible ties with Russia. But the bottom line is Russia's effort to influence American democracy. Do the President and his aides care enough to take action before voters go back to the polls?