Following losses in Tuesday’s Indiana primary, both Sen. Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich have withdrawn from the GOP race, clearing the path for Donald Trump.
For the first time, California was going to matter in the GOP nominating process, with candidates expecting to woo voters on a district by district basis. That moment is over.
Now, the question is, what will the race look like in California during November’s general election?
Republican political consultant, Mike Madrid told Madeleine Brand on Wednesday that the question that remains is, What will this do for turnout in the remaining race? “It was sizing up to be a very big event,” said Madrid, “a little air has been let out of the balloon.”
However, he said that come November, Republicans will be motivated to vote Trump because of their dislike of Hillary Clinton. “We are witnessing the two most unpopular front-runners in the history of Gallup polling at this point in time,” he said. “It’s going to be a long hot ugly summer until November.”
Another issue that Trump faces is reckoning with his anti-immigration stance as he moves into the general election. However, On Monday’s Press Play, UCLA Political Science Professor and author of “The Message Matters: The Economy and Presidential Campaigns,” Lynn Vavreck, said that Trump can’t really tone down his anti-immigrant rhetoric at this point. She told Madeleine Brand:
I don’t expect to see Trump pulling back at all on the immigration rhetoric when he’s in California, and because of this state and because of the demographics and where it is geographically, I think that kind of language is going to exacerbate the electorate in a way that maybe it hasn’t in some of the other states. And I don’t think he’s going to come here and pull back. I think he’s going to come here and turn up the volume.
This does not bode well for the California Republican Party, which needs to start courting Latinos to regain relevance in the blue state.
All Trump needs to reach 1237? NJ/WV, some spare change in NM/WA/OR, and a win in California–where he’s up by 20 in recent polls
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) May 3, 2016