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FROM THIS EPISODE

President Bush says it's up to Iran to avoid international sanctions, but the latest Intelligence Estimate will make his case harder to make with western Europe, Russia and China.  We look at the prospects and hear more about how and why the Administration released a report that contradicted its own policies. Also, habeus corpus gets its day in court--again, and a medical mystery may have been solved: why does the flu season always happen in winter?


Photo: AFP/Getty Images

Producers:
Sonya Geis
Dan Konecky
Frances Anderton

Main Topic New Intelligence on Iran's Nuclear Program 35 MIN, 50 SEC

US intelligence agencies now believe that Iran stopped trying to build nuclear weapons four years ago. The "military option" appears to be off the table. President Bush's effort to increase sanctions against Iran is still going strong, but the latest intelligence estimate may undermine that, too. In Iran today, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad called the latest US Intelligence Estimate a "victory" for his claim that Iran is not building nuclear weapons. He did not mention the finding that there was such a program up until 2003. Mohamed elBaradei of the International Atomic Energy Agency says Iran is "somewhat vindicated" but that there still are "lingering concerns." Have 16 intelligence agencies declared their independence from political influence? Has the President turned his back on the neo-cons who wanted to follow the war in Iraq with attacks on Iran? 

Guests:
Barbara Slavin, Atlantic Council (@barbaraslavin1)
David Albright, Institute for Science and International Security
Najmeh Bozorgmehr, Tehran Correspondent, Financial Times
Robert Baer, CIA (formerly)
Victor Davis Hanson, Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution

Making News Habeus Corpus Gets Its Day in Court...Again 5 MIN, 57 SEC

Lawyers for inmates at Guantánamo Bay were back in the US Supreme Court today, demanding that the government provide some basis for their clients' continued imprisonment. That's habeus corpus, guaranteed to every American by the Constitution. James Oliphant is national legal correspondent for the Chicago Tribune.

Guests:
James Oliphant, Chicago Tribune

Reporter's Notebook Researchers Discover Why Flu Travels in Cold Weather 7 MIN, 5 SEC

Influenza is an Italian word from the 18th century, and some historians say it's part of a phrase, influenza di freddo, or "influence of the cold." In any case, flu season tends to be in the winter. In the northern latitudes, that's November to March; in southern latitudes, it's from May until September, which is their winter.  In the tropics, there is not much flu at all. Researchers have always wondered why and now they think there's an answer. Dr. Samira Mubareka is co-author of the Mount Sinai School of Medicine's report into the connection between airborne flu and seasonality.

Guests:
Samira Mubareka, Infectious Disease Doctor, Mount Sinai School of Medicine

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